忘却からの帰還〜Atomic Age

「核戦争で、5〜6日後に、パリでコーヒーを楽しめると考えてはならない」は、1986年6月11日にブタペストで開かれた東側首脳会議における、ポーランドのヤルゼルスキ将軍の発言である。

This East German document records a revealing discussion among Warsaw Pact party secretaries on the question of disarmament. Taking place within weeks of the April 26 Chernobyl nuclear disaster, it shows how that accident influenced Soviet and East European perceptions of what a nuclear war in Europe might look like. As Polish leader Wojciech Jaruzelski put it, “No one should have the idea that in a nuclear war one could enjoy a cup of coffee in Paris five or six days later.”

この東ドイツの文書は軍縮問題についての、ワルシャワ条約機構の党書記の間での意義深い議論が記録されている。4月26日のチェルノブイリ原発事故の数週間以内に開催され、この事故が、欧州核戦争についてのソ連及び東欧に認識に、いかなる影響を与えたか示している。ポーランドの指導者ヴォイチェフ・ヤルゼルスキが言うように「核戦争後、5〜6日後にパリでコーヒーを楽しむことができるという考えを持つべきではない。」

[ [Document No. 115: Minutes of the Political Consultative Committee Party Secretaries’ Meeting in Budapest, June 11, 1986 ]

議事録によれば、これはゴルバチョフによるチェリノブイリ事故の情報提供を受けての発言で....

Comrade [Wojciech] Jaruzelski welcomed the opportunity for a meeting of the general secretaries and of the first secretaries. This practice should be maintained. So far such meetings have taken place [only] in special cases. Now it had been proposed to meet in addition to discuss certain topics. One does not exclude the other
...
Comrade Jaruzelski thanked Comrade Mikhail Gorbachev for the comprehensive information on the events at the nuclear power plant in Chernobyl and its impact.
...
However, it would be necessary to draw further conclusions. Among others, he had talked about that with the supreme commander of the Unified Forces of the Warsaw Treaty, Comrade [Viktor] Kulikov. The latter had demonstrated a deep sympathy for paying more attention to issues of civil defense. Another issue would be to examine all the plans and concepts, as well as all the military exercises of our alliance, and to approach them more realistically. For instance, no one should have the idea that in a nuclear war one could enjoy a cup of coffee in Paris five or six days later. This tragic event should be used to approach all these questions much more realistically

同志ヤルゼルスキは書記長・第一書記会議の開催を歓迎した。このような慣行は継続されるべきだ。従来は、そのような会議は特別な場合にのみ開催された。今回は、特別な議題を論じるために招集された。それ以外の場合を排除するものではない。
...
同志ヤルゼルスキは、チェルノブイリ原発の事象及びその影響についての総合的情報提供について、同志ミハイル・ゴルバチョフに感謝した。
...
しかしながら、さらならう結論を必然的に導けるだろう。なかでも、彼はワルシャワ条約機構軍最高司令官同志[ビクトル]クリコフでそのことについて話した。クリコフ同志は民間防衛の問題にもっと注意を払うべきだという、深い同情を示していた。もう一つの議題は、我が同盟軍の計画・概念・演習の検討及び、それらへ現実的なアプローチだった。たとえば、核戦争の5〜6日後にパリでコーヒーを楽しめると考えるべきではない。この悲劇的な事象は、これらの問題に現実的にアプローチするために使うべきだ。

[ [Document No. 115: Minutes of the Political Consultative Committee Party Secretaries’ Meeting in Budapest, June 11, 1986 ](Mastny-Byrne 2005/04/27 13:15 Page 536)(original language)

当時の東側の状況は...

Available documents suggest that in the late 1970s the Soviets and their Warsaw Pact allies continued to discuss winning in Europe by massive deployment of nuclear weapons.51 Even in the 1980s, these plans appeared to remain in force. At a meeting of the Consultative Committee of Party Secretaries of the Warsaw Pact nations in Budapest on 11 June 1986, in the immediate aftermath of the Chernobyl nuclear plant disaster, the Warsaw Pact leaders seized the opportunity presented by Mikhail Gorbachev’s discussion of the nuclear disaster to impress upon the Soviets their fears of the consequences of the use of nuclear weapons in Europe. It appears that the Warsaw Pact leaders were concerned that the Soviet military command was still planning for a winnable nuclear war in Europe. The Polish leader Gen. Wojciech Jaruzelski, whose previous job as the minister of defense of Poland afforded him very good insight into Soviet military planning, said that it would be necessary “to examine all the plans and concepts, as well as all the military exercises of our alliance, and to approach them more realistically. For instance, no one should have the idea that in a nuclear war one could enjoy a cup of coffee in Paris five or six days later.”52

51. Mastny and Byrne, A Cardboard Castle, 408–12, 415–17.
52. Ibid., 536

[ Frank Biess, Robert G. Moeller:"Histories of the Aftermath: The Legacies of the Second World War in Europe", Berghahn Books, 2010, P.282 ] (orthis)

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