PreFlopで後ろから3Betされた際にALLINしてもいいハンドレンジを相手の3Bet率から計算

結論

試行回数別判定3Bet率Hand Range
30回100回300回相手ALLIN可
10%以上6%以上5%以上88+,AQ+TT+,AQ+
15%以上11%以上9%以上22+、AT+、KQ22+,AJ+

前提

  • ショートスタックの20BB持ち
  • ヘッズアップ
  • 自分より後ろのポジションからReraiseされた場合

前提2

  • 3BBでRaiseしてLateにReraiseされたときに必要な勝率41% (∵オッズが (20+20+1.5)/(20-3)=2.44)
  • 相手のハンドレンジを3種類に分類
    • JJ+、AK
    • 88+、AJ+
    • 22+、AT+、KQ

詳細結果

試行回数と3Bet率の分布

試行回数:100回
理想値3.0%6.8%11.9%
実測値JJ+,AK88+,AJ+22+,AT+,KQ
0%4.7%0.1%0.0%
1%14.5%0.6%0.0%
2%22.4%2.3%0.0%
3%22.7%5.5%0.1%
4%17.2%9.8%0.4%
5%10.2%13.7%1.1%
6%5.0%15.7%2.3%
7%2.1%15.4%4.1%
8%0.8%13.0%6.4%
9%0.2%9.7%8.9%
10%0.1%6.4%11.0%
11%0.0%3.8%12.1%
12%0.0%2.1%12.2%
13%0.0%1.0%11.2%
14%0.0%0.5%9.4%
15%0.0%0.2%7.3%
16%0.0%0.1%5.2%
17%0.0%0.0%3.5%
18%0.0%0.0%2.2%
19%0.0%0.0%1.3%
20%0.0%0.0%0.7%

試行回数:30回
理想値3.0%6.8%11.9%
実測値JJ+,AK88+,AJ+22+,AT+,KQ
0.0%39.9%12.1%2.2%
3.3%37.2%26.5%9.0%
6.7%16.8%28.0%17.7%
10.0%4.9%19.0%22.3%
13.3%1.0%9.4%20.4%
16.7%0.2%3.5%14.4%
20.0%0.0%1.1%8.1%
23.3%0.0%0.3%3.8%
26.7%0.0%0.1%1.5%
30.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%
試行回数:300回
理想値3.0%6.8%11.9%
実測値JJ+,AK88+,AJ+22+,AT+,KQ
0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.7%0.4%0.0%0.0%
1.3%3.2%0.0%0.0%
2.0%8.9%0.0%0.0%
2.7%13.3%0.1%0.0%
3.3%12.1%0.4%0.0%
4.0%7.4%1.4%0.0%
4.7%3.3%3.3%0.0%
5.3%1.1%6.0%0.0%
6.0%0.3%8.3%0.0%
6.7%0.1%9.2%0.1%
7.3%0.0%8.2%0.3%
8.0%0.0%6.1%0.7%
8.7%0.0%3.8%1.6%
9.3%0.0%2.0%2.8%
10.0%0.0%0.9%4.4%
10.7%0.0%0.3%5.9%
11.3%0.0%0.1%6.9%
12.0%0.0%0.0%7.1%
12.7%0.0%0.0%6.4%
13.3%0.0%0.0%5.1%
14.0%0.0%0.0%3.7%
14.7%0.0%0.0%2.3%
15.3%0.0%0.0%1.4%
16.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%
16.7%0.0%0.0%0.3%

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